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Environmental Foresight and Models: A Manifesto

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Policy-makers and the public, it has famously been said, are more interested in the possibility of non-linear dislocations and surprises in the behaviour of the environment than in smooth extrapolations of current trends. The International Task Force in Forecasting Environmental Change (1993-1998) dedicated its work to developing procedures of model building capable of addressing our palpable concerns for substantial change in the future. This volume discusses the immense challenges that such structural change presents - that the behaviour of the environment may become radically different from that observed in the past - and investigates the potentially profound implications for model development.

Drawing upon case histories from the Great Lakes, acidic atmospheric deposition and, among others, the urban ozone problem, this discourse responds to a new agenda of questions. For example: "What system of 'radar' might we design to detect threats to the environment lying just beyond the 'horizon'?" and "Are the seeds of structural change identifiable within the record of the recent past?"

Meticulously researched by leading environmental modellers, this milestone volume engages vigorously with its subject and offers an animated account of how models can begin to take into consideration the significant threats and uncertainties posed by structural change.

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Audel HVAC Fundamentals, Heating System Components, Gas and Oil Burners and Automatic Controls
Audel HVAC Fundamentals, Heating System Components, Gas and Oil Burners and Automatic Controls
The purpose of this series is to provide the layman with an introduction to the fundamentals of installing, servicing, troubleshooting, and repairing the various types of equipment used in residential and light-commercial heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. Consequently, it was written not only for the...
iPad in Education For Dummies
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Engineering the CMOS Library: Enhancing Digital Design Kits for Competitive Silicon
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Shows readers how to gain the competitive edge in the integrated circuit marketplace

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Core Python Applications Programming (3rd Edition) (Core Series)
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Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting (Lecture Notes in Energy)
Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting (Lecture Notes in Energy)

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Enterprise Architecture and New Generation Information Systems
Enterprise Architecture and New Generation Information Systems
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