The primary goal of this book is to present to the scientific and management
communities a selection of applications using more recent Soft Computing (SC)
and Computing with Words and Perceptions (CWP) models and techniques meant
to solve the economics and financial problems. The selected examples could also
serve as a starting point or as an opening out, in the SC and CWP techniques
application to a wider range of problems in economics and finance.
Decision making in the present world is becoming more and more
sophisticated, time consuming and difficult for human beings who require more
and more computational support. This book addresses the significant increase on
research and applications of Soft Computing and Computing with Words and
Perceptions for decision making in Economics and Finance in recent years.
Decision making is heavily based on information and knowledge usually extracted
from the analysis of large amounts of data. Data mining techniques enabled with
the capability to integrate human experience could be used for a more realistic
business decision support. Computing with Words and Perceptions introduced by
Lotfi Zadeh, can serve as a basis for such extension of traditional data mining and
decision making systems. Fuzzy logic as a main constituent of CWP gives
powerful tools for modeling and processing linguistic information defined on
numerical domain.
Decision making techniques based on fuzzy logics in many cases have
demonstrated better performance than competing approaches. The reason is that
traditional, bivalent-logic-based approaches, are not a good fit to reality — the
reality of pervasive imprecision, uncertainty and partiality of truth. On the other
hand, traditional probabilistic interpretation of uncertainties in practice does not
always correspond to the nature of uncertainties that often appear as the effects of
subjective estimations. The list of practical situations, when it seems better to
avoid the traditional probabilistic interpretation of uncertainty is very long. The
centrepiece of fuzzy logic that everything is, or is allowed to be, a matter of
degree, makes it possible to better deal with perception-based information. Such
information plays an essential role in economics, finance and, more generally in
all domains in which human perceptions and emotions are in evidence. For
instance, it is the case for the studies of the capital markets/financial engineering
including financial time series modeling; price projections for stocks, volatility
analysis and the pricing of options and derivatives; and risk management to
mention few.