| This book is motivated by the following convictions:
1) Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) can be a powerful discipline for improving risk management decisions and policies.
2) Poorly conducted QRAs can produce results and recommendations that are worse than useless.
3) Sound risk assessment methods provide the benefits of QRA modeling – being able to predict and compare the probable consequences of alternative actions, interventions, or policies and being able to identify those that make preferred consequences more probable – while avoiding the pitfalls.
This book develops and illustrates QRA methods for complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems. These systems have behaviors that are too complex or uncertain to be modeled accurately in detail with high confidence. Practical applications include assessing and managing risks from chemical carcinogens, antibiotic resistance, mad cow disease, terrorist attacks, and accidental or deliberate failures in telecommunications network infrastructure. |
|
|
 Deadly ImbalancesAt the height of its power in the summer of 1942, Hitlerite Germany had enslaved four hundred million people; its empire stretched from the Mediterranean to the Arctic, from the English Channel to the Black Sea and almost to the Caspian. Between the Ukrainian steppes and the Pyrenees only Switzerland remained free. Even Mussolini, whom Hitler once... | | The Complete Beatles ChronicleA massive, gorgeous chronicle of the Beatles' days together, from the producer of the wildly successful The Beatles: Recording Sessions. Exhaustively documents the group's public and private lives from the early days until their breakup. Illustrations.
About the Author
... | | Managing Software Debt: Building for Inevitable Change
Shipping imperfect software is like going into debt. When you incur debt, the illusion of doing things faster can lead to exponential growth in the cost of maintaining software. Software debt takes five major forms: technical, quality, configuration management, design, and platform experience. In today’s rush to market, software debt is... |
|
